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Ecuador
has substantial petroleum resources and rich agricultural
areas. Because the country exports primary products such
as oil, bananas, flowers and shrimp, fluctuations in world
market prices can have a substantial domestic impact. Industry
is largely oriented to servicing the domestic market, and
some exports to the Andean Common market.
Deteriorating economic performance in 1997-98 culminated
in a severe economic and financial crisis in 1999. The crisis
was precipitated by a number of external shocks, including
the El Niño weather phenomenon in 1997, a sharp drop
in global oil prices in 1997-98, and international emerging
market instability in 1997-98. These factors highlighted
the Government of Ecuador's unsustainable economic policy
mix of large fiscal deficits and expansionary money policy
and resulted in an 7.3% contraction of GDP, annual year-on-year
inflation of 52.2% and a 65% devaluation of the national
currency in 1999, which helped precipitate a default on
external loans later that year. |
On January 9, 2000, the administration of President
Jamil Mahuad announced its intention to adopt the U.S. dollar
as the official currency of Ecuador to address the ongoing economic
crisis. The formal adoption of the dollar as currency on September
10, 2000, as opposed to pegging the local currency to it, as Argentina
has done, theoretically meant that the benefits of seigniorage
would accrue to the U.S. economy. Subsequent protest related to
the economic and financial crises led to the removal of Mahuad
from office and the elevation of Vice President Gustavo Noboa
to the presidency.
However, the Noboa government confirmed its commitment
to dollarize as the centerpiece of its economic recovery strategy.
The government also entered into negotiations with the International
Monetary Fund (IMF), culminating in the negotiation of a twelve-month
stand-by arrangement with the Fund. Additional policy initiatives
include efforts to reduce the government's fiscal deficit, implement
structural reforms to strengthen the banking system and regain
access to private capital markets.
Buoyed by high oil prices, the Ecuadorian economy
experienced a modest recovery in 2000, with GDP rising 1.9%. However,
70% of the population was estimated to live below the poverty
line that year, more than double the rate in 1995.